Post by account_disabled on Mar 12, 2024 18:57:02 GMT -10
Projective geometry shows that parallel lines touch at infinity. In politics, propaganda and reflection do not coincide even in infinity; and if they ever come together they define an exceptional moment. During election campaigns, such a marriage is an unusual phenomenon. It does not seem that the current Catalan campaign is going to refute this axiom. The reflection and political analysis that are presumed in the parties occur fundamentally before and after the electoral campaigns. Before, to select the faces, the most relevant objectives and the story intended to link the proposal to the electorate of each party; later, to try to build the best of the possible government alternatives or to shore up the least bad one. During the campaign, all efforts and directions are concentrated on obtaining votes and sowing doubts among potential voters about other options. In Catalonia, the fragmentation of political spaces is greater than ever.
For this reason, during the electoral campaign, the proposals for the composition of the future government are gaining as much importance as the vetoes and red lines to government AOL Email List pacts with other options. Let's start with the certainties. In the next 14-F elections, up to 9 parties have a chance to sit in the Parliament of Catalonia, although in the case of the PDECat all the polls indicate the low probability of it achieving it. Among the other 8 remaining parties, only 3 (ERC, JxCat and PSC) can be the party with the most votes, which does not imply that the winner can automatically form and head the new government. Two factors can be key when defining the result of the electoral dispute. Firstly, the high number of undecided voters , which today reaches.
Third of the electoral body willing to vote. And, secondly, the evolution of Covid-19 infections, the rate of vaccination and hospital capacity for health care, which is now very close to collapse. Both factors will have a notable impact on the percentage that will reach abstention and on the final inclination of the undecided vote. Impact that is very difficult to gauge, since not all social sectors give the same importance to their participation in the regional elections nor do they perceive in the same way or with the same intensity the risks of being infected by going to vote and the impact that this contagion would have. about their health, that of their family and the future of their jobs or the possibilities of finding work. Which adds more uncertainty to the already very high uncertainty caused by the crises unleashed by the pandemic and the management difficulties evident during the last year.
For this reason, during the electoral campaign, the proposals for the composition of the future government are gaining as much importance as the vetoes and red lines to government AOL Email List pacts with other options. Let's start with the certainties. In the next 14-F elections, up to 9 parties have a chance to sit in the Parliament of Catalonia, although in the case of the PDECat all the polls indicate the low probability of it achieving it. Among the other 8 remaining parties, only 3 (ERC, JxCat and PSC) can be the party with the most votes, which does not imply that the winner can automatically form and head the new government. Two factors can be key when defining the result of the electoral dispute. Firstly, the high number of undecided voters , which today reaches.
Third of the electoral body willing to vote. And, secondly, the evolution of Covid-19 infections, the rate of vaccination and hospital capacity for health care, which is now very close to collapse. Both factors will have a notable impact on the percentage that will reach abstention and on the final inclination of the undecided vote. Impact that is very difficult to gauge, since not all social sectors give the same importance to their participation in the regional elections nor do they perceive in the same way or with the same intensity the risks of being infected by going to vote and the impact that this contagion would have. about their health, that of their family and the future of their jobs or the possibilities of finding work. Which adds more uncertainty to the already very high uncertainty caused by the crises unleashed by the pandemic and the management difficulties evident during the last year.